AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Michigan State winning 51% of simulations, and Indiana 49% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Michigan State commits fewer turnovers in 22% of simulations and they go on to win 67% when they take care of the ball. Indiana wins 61% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Payton Thorne is averaging 253 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (38% chance) then he helps his team win 69%. Michael Penix Jr. is averaging 271 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (39% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is IND +4.5 --- Over/Under line is 48.5
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Visit AccuScore.com for free detailed ATS and Totals Trends.The forecast and trends above do not provide you with AccuScore\'s industry leading ATS and Totals picks. Join AccuScore.com and learn more about our products.
AccuScore rates each pick on a 4 Star System.
We update our Top Betting Systems daily
Many leading handicappers rely on Star Ratings and Betting Systems to maximize accuracy.
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
More...